BOM windmap showing that our teams can expect 0-5 knots from the SW when they leave Coles Bay. That's okay for Haphazard because they think they can drift faster than Deguello. At this stage they're separated by about half a mile, just judging by the distance of their nav lights.
Team Whistler won't be far from finishing the run so we can't discount them as possibilities for line honours. In fact Pete Sluce has his money on this team and in the light and variable conditions, with their extra special secret human-powered devices and the amount of reconnaissance they've been doing on the tricky canal, he could be right!